Intended risk (budget)
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Free Tool
Size a trade the way a desk does: from the stop distance and a fixed-fractional risk budget, not from conviction. This tool auto-fills the revised January 2026 index lot sizes, then shows the number almost every other calculator hides, the gap between the risk you intended and the risk you actually take once you round to whole lots.
The market does not know your account size. Size the position so that being wrong is survivable, and the account decides how long you get to be right.
Instrument & account
Risk budget
Entry, stop & target
F&O lot
Position size
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Actual rupee risk (1R)
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Target profit
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Reward : risk
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Intended vs actual risk (the number most tools hide)
Intended risk (budget)
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Actual risk (after lot rounding)
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Gap
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Actual risk as % of account
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Your stop is 1R. The bars show risk and the reward at each R-multiple, drawn to the computed rupee figures.
| Level | P&L (₹) |
|---|
| Component | ₹ |
|---|---|
| Round-trip total | − |
| Breakeven move | − |
Modelled on representative published rates, as of July 2026. Verify current rates with your broker. STT: options 0.15% sell-side premium, futures 0.05% sell side (effective 1 April 2026).
The formula is arithmetic. The hard part is the judgement upstream of it: an entry worth taking, a stop placed where the idea is genuinely wrong, and the discipline to size from that stop every time rather than from how sure you feel. That upstream work is what the method we teach is built around.
The one principle
Position size is set by two inputs and only two: your fixed-fractional risk budget (a small, constant percent of the account) and the distance from entry to stop. Everything else, conviction, the target, how much the stock has run, the tip that got you in, is noise that must not touch the sizing. Quantity is the budget divided by the per-unit risk, then rounded down to whole shares or whole lots. The entire discipline is refusing to let anything except the stop distance and the risk fraction change that number.
Institutional desks size mechanically; retail sizes emotionally. The SEBI FY25 finding that over 91 percent of individual F&O traders were net loss-making, with aggregate net losses near 1,05,603 crore rupees, is not only an edge problem. It is a sizing problem. A trader with a genuine edge and a position three times too large for the stop will still be wiped out by an ordinary losing streak, because the streak that a 1 percent sizer survives is the streak that ends a 5 percent sizer.
Read a trade backwards, from the stop. The stop distance is your risk per unit. Your risk budget is a fixed fraction of the account. The quantity that makes those two agree is forced:
Worked on the defaults above: capital 5,00,000 at 1 percent is a 5,000 risk budget. An entry of 250 with a stop at 235 is a 15-rupee risk per unit. Raw quantity is 5,000 divided by 15, which is 333.3 units. You cannot buy a third of a share, so in equity you take 333 and your actual risk is 333 times 15, which is 4,995, just below budget. That small shortfall is harmless. The problem is the other direction, and it lives entirely in the rounding step.
In equity the rounding step is fine-grained: one share is a tiny fraction of a position, so rounding down to a whole share barely moves the risk. In F&O the step is coarse. You trade in lots, and a lot is the true minimum. The revised January 2026 sizes make this sharper: one Bank Nifty lot is 30 units, one Nifty lot is 65. If the raw quantity comes out at 1.8 lots, you take 1, and your actual risk drops well below budget. If it comes out at 0.7 lots, you face the trap: the honest answer is that you cannot take the trade at this stop on this account, yet the temptation is to round up to one lot and quietly accept a risk far above budget.
NSE revised index derivative lot sizes from the January 2026 series, the second reset in roughly a year, to keep contract values aligned with index levels. Contract value below is the lot size times an indicative index level; use it to feel the notional you are actually controlling, then read the leverage section that follows.
| Instrument | Old lot | Revised lot (Jan 2026) | Indicative level | Approx. contract value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 75 | 65 | 24,500 | ₹15.9 lakh |
| Bank Nifty | 35 | 30 | 54,000 | ₹16.2 lakh |
| FinNifty | 65 | 60 | 25,800 | ₹15.5 lakh |
| Nifty Midcap Select | 140 | 120 | 13,200 | ₹15.8 lakh |
| Nifty Next 50 | 25 | 25 | 68,000 | ₹17.0 lakh |
| Sensex (BSE) | 20 | 20 | 80,500 | ₹16.1 lakh |
The 2026 Budget raised securities transaction tax on derivatives, effective 1 April 2026: options to 0.15 percent of sell-side premium and futures to 0.05 percent of sell-side turnover. Every round trip carries a fixed component (brokerage, a per-crore SEBI fee) and a proportional one (STT, exchange charges, stamp duty, GST). The table is the per-side rate stack the calculator applies.
| Component | Equity delivery | Equity intraday | Options | Futures |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brokerage | Zero (typical) | 0.03% or ₹20 / order, lower | ₹20 flat / order | 0.03% or ₹20 / order, lower |
| STT / CTT | 0.1% buy + sell | 0.025% sell | 0.15% sell (premium) | 0.05% sell |
| Exchange txn charge | 0.00307% | 0.00307% | 0.03553% (premium) | 0.00183% |
| SEBI turnover fee | ₹10 / crore | ₹10 / crore | ₹10 / crore | ₹10 / crore |
| Stamp duty | 0.015% buy | 0.003% buy | 0.003% buy | 0.002% buy |
| GST | 18% on brokerage + exchange txn charge + SEBI turnover fee | |||
The practical consequence is a breakeven move: the price has to travel a minimum distance just to clear the round trip before the trade earns anything. On small positions that distance is a meaningful fraction of the stop, which is the arithmetic behind the next failure mode.
A clean formula does not make a position safe. Six conditions detach real risk from the number the calculator prints, and every one of them has ended accounts that were, on paper, sizing at 1 percent.
Why 1 percent, and not 5? The answer is drawdown arithmetic, and it is unforgiving because a loss and its recovery are not symmetric. Down 10 percent needs about 11 percent to recover; down 50 percent needs 100 percent. The table below is an illustrative model of the approximate probability of a deep, effectively terminal drawdown, as a function of risk per trade and win rate, holding reward-to-risk at 1:1. It is a mathematical model, not a forecast of any real strategy or account.
| Risk per trade | Win rate 40% | Win rate 50% | Win rate 55% | Win rate 60% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5% | Very low | Very low | Negligible | Negligible |
| 1% | Moderate | Low | Very low | Negligible |
| 2% | High | Moderate | Low | Low |
| 5% | Near-certain | High | Elevated | Moderate |
| 10% | Near-certain | Near-certain | High | Elevated |
For the mechanics behind this model, the companion risk of ruin calculator takes your own win rate, reward-to-risk and risk fraction and returns a ruin probability. And for the behavioural half of the FY25 loss statistic, why the sizing discipline is so hard to hold in practice, see why Indian traders lose money.
Common Questions
How do you calculate position size from a stop-loss?
+Position size is the risk budget divided by the risk per unit. The risk budget is your account size multiplied by a fixed risk fraction, usually 0.5 to 1 percent. The risk per unit is the distance in rupees between your entry and your stop. Quantity equals (capital times risk percent) divided by the absolute value of entry minus stop. On a 5,00,000 account risking 1 percent, that is 5,000 of risk; with a stop 15 rupees from entry, the raw quantity is 5,000 divided by 15, about 333 units. Conviction, the target and the account size never enter this formula; only the risk budget and the stop distance do.
What are the current Nifty, Bank Nifty and FinNifty lot sizes in 2026?
+From the January 2026 derivatives series, NSE revised the index lot sizes. Nifty 50 moved from 75 to 65, Bank Nifty from 35 to 30, Nifty Financial Services (FinNifty) from 65 to 60, and Nifty Midcap Select from 140 to 120. Nifty Next 50 stayed at 25 and the BSE Sensex contract stayed at 20. Weekly contracts reflected the change from the first January 2026 expiry and monthly contracts from the January month-end expiry. Any sizing tool still using 25 for Nifty or 15 for Bank Nifty is on lot sizes that were superseded twice over.
Why does my actual risk differ from my intended risk budget?
+Because you cannot buy a fraction of a unit or a fraction of a lot. The formula gives a raw quantity that is almost never a whole number. In equity you round down to the nearest share; in F&O you round down to the nearest whole lot, which is a far coarser step. Rounding down usually leaves your actual rupee risk below budget, which is safe but under-deploys capital. The danger is the F&O trader who rounds up to one lot when the budget did not cover even one: a Bank Nifty lot of 30 with a 40-rupee stop is 1,200 of risk per lot, so on a 50,000 account that single indivisible lot is already 2.4 percent, more than double a 1 percent budget. The lot is the real minimum position, not the formula output.
What is an R-multiple and how does it relate to position size?
+R is your initial risk on the trade, the rupee amount between entry and stop times the quantity. Every outcome is then measured in R. If risk is 5,000, a target that pays 10,000 is a 2R trade and the reward-to-risk is 2 to 1. Sizing in fixed-fractional terms makes R roughly constant across trades regardless of price, so a 250-rupee instrument and a 2,000-rupee instrument both risk the same rupees when sized correctly. That constancy is the point: it lets you reason about a strategy in R rather than in the noise of individual share prices, and it keeps one loss from being three times another purely because the second stock was more expensive.
Does a stop-loss guarantee my maximum loss?
+No. A stop is a trigger, not a fill. It caps risk only if the market trades continuously through your level. Across an overnight gap, a stop at 492 can fill at 470 if the stock opens there on news, and your realised loss is set by the open, not the trigger. Worse, an instrument locked at its lower circuit has no buyers, so a sell stop cannot execute at all until the circuit lifts, by which point the price may be far below. Position sizing assumes the stop holds; gap risk and circuit risk are the reasons a sensible desk also caps single-name exposure and total portfolio heat, so that one adverse gap cannot end the account even when the stop fails to protect the planned amount.
What is portfolio heat and what cap should I use?
+Portfolio heat is the sum of the open risk across every live position, expressed as a percent of the account: what you lose if every stop is hit at once. A common institutional ceiling is 6 percent total heat, roughly six simultaneous trades each risking 1 percent. The reason for a cap separate from per-trade risk is correlation: five long positions in the same sector are not five independent 1 percent bets, they behave like one larger bet that all stop together on a sector move. This calculator adds the trade you are sizing to the open risk you enter and warns when the total breaches the cap, because the per-trade number alone hides the real exposure.
How much do trading costs matter for position sizing?
+They matter most for the smallest and the most frequent positions, and they were made heavier by the 2026 Budget. Securities transaction tax on options rose to 0.15 percent of the sell-side premium and on futures to 0.05 percent of the sell-side turnover, both effective 1 April 2026. Add exchange transaction charges, an 18 percent GST on brokerage plus those charges plus the SEBI turnover fee, stamp duty on the buy side, and every round trip has a fixed and a proportional cost. On a tiny position the round trip can be a large fraction of the rupee risk, which means the trade has to clear a breakeven move before it earns anything. Cost drag is the reason under-sizing to feel safe can quietly turn a positive-expectancy method negative.
Should I increase position size after a losing streak to recover?
+No. Increasing risk after losses is a martingale, and a fixed-fractional model does the opposite by design. Because size is a percent of the current, now-smaller account, the rupee risk falls automatically after a drawdown and rises only as the account recovers. That is anti-martingale, and it is the property that makes ruin mathematically hard to reach: each loss shrinks the next bet rather than enlarging it. Doubling up to get even is how a survivable drawdown becomes a terminal one, because a fixed percent applied to a shrinking base cannot blow up, but a fixed rupee amount, or a rising one, applied to a shrinking base can.
What is the maximum risk per trade a retail trader should use?
+Fixed-fractional convention is 0.5 to 1 percent per trade, with 2 percent as an outer bound reserved for the highest-conviction setups and never a default. The reason is drawdown arithmetic, not caution for its own sake: at 1 percent risk a run of ten consecutive losses costs roughly 10 percent of capital and is recoverable; at 5 percent the same run costs about 40 percent and needs a 67 percent gain merely to break even. The SEBI FY25 finding that over 91 percent of individual F&O traders were net loss-making, with aggregate net losses of about 1,05,603 crore rupees, is in large part a sizing failure: positions too large for the account relative to the stop, so that ordinary losing streaks became unrecoverable.
Where the facts come from